7News/Suffolk Poll: Decision \'04
The Hiller Instinct: 7News/Suffolk Poll: Decision '04
It's early, but we're already seeing the impact of Iowa here in New Hampshire. Just as the race has tightened there, it's tightening here, too. But while Iowa has a four-way fight for first, the battle to win New Hampshire is now between three candidates.
Howard Dean is still on top in our exclusive 7News-Suffolk University poll with 25 percent. But John Kerry and Wesley Clark --at 19 percent-- are both close enough to catch him.
All the other candidates are way back. Joe Lieberman, John Edwards and Richard Gephardt limping along in single digits, not yet real factors in this race.
Twenty percent--one of every five likely Democratic primary voters here--is still undecided. And how they decide will decide this primary. Our tracking poll will detect their movement, and let you see all the trends as we move toward the primary next Tuesday. And just in case you're not certain, here's how daily tracking polls work:
Prof. David Paleologos, Suffolk University Pollster
"They’re used to measure the movement of candidates. Every night, we’re getting a good snapshot of the state. We combine a two-day average to get a rolling average and that gives us an idea of where candidates are moving and how fast they are moving and whether they have enough time to catch a front-runner or pull away from the pack."
We may already be seeing the beginning of the Iowa bounce, momentum there triggering movement here. Over the weekend, John Kerry and Wesley Clark have gone up in New Hampshire...while Howard Dean has slipped. If that turns into a trend, then New Hampshire is going to turn into the same kind of "who'll win?" as Iowa is.
If I can give you just one word to remember right now about this primary it's "fluid".