The Hiller Instinct: Senate Race
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But for this survey, we focused on the voters in Falmouth, Fitchburg and Lunenberg because the votes there in the most recent Democratic senate primary were very close to the state-wide results.
When we added the three communities together--after asking undecided voters whom they lean toward--Martha Coakley was in front with 39 per cent...Mike Capuano got 25...Steve Pagliuca 13, Alan Khazei 7, and 11 remained undecided.
Suffolk University pollster, Professor David Paleologos said, "There's been a lot of discussion about high turnout/low turnout, but what this test shows is that even in a low turnout, Martha Coakley has a commanding lead."
Which does not, of course, mean the race is over and that Coakley can't lose. Many opinions could change overnight, or perhaps there's a last minute trend developing.
"There might be a secret bloc of voters out there who haven't answered the polling, or who suddenly wake up tomorrow and decide to vote, but given the best statistical test we have, it looks like Martha Coakley will prevail."
Polls open at 7 a.m. Tuesday morning and close at 8 p.m.
While they're open, we'll be checking several key spots to see what voters are doing, so that--after the polls close--we can let you know as soon as possible who won.
I’m Andy Hiller, 7News.
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