Got Us by The Tail
Posted by Pete Bouchard
Tons of sun got us back to the mid 60s today. Plenty of high clouds too.
Those clouds are with a weakening warm front to the southwest. Few showers may sneak in here tonight, but the closest they come are Worcester, Hopkinton and Brockton.
Long range, all eyes are on the tropics as we await the latest track on Tropical Storm Sandy. Her track has us doing backflips in the Weather Center. There's a lot to consider on this storm. And before we hop on the Hype Train, we want to be sure where it's going.
This isn't like a winter storm. We can see those coming days in advance, and when you're in a groove, you're in a groove: snowy patterns are easy to see. These animals are like a cross between a tropical system and a nor'easter. They have characteristics of each - not the least of which is a highly variable track, speed and intensity.
Reason being, the storm is steered by both the tropical weather systems and the run-of-the-mill jetstream that meanders through the United States. (Winter storms are only steered by the jetstream over the U.S.) But here's what gets me about the storm and how the models are treating it: phasing. One model suggests that the storm will actually be absorbed by the jetstream right in the Mid Atlantic States this weekend. That is highly unusual (typically happens at high latitudes), and seems very heavy-handed. Last time I saw true phasing was during the Blizzard of '93 and of course, the Perfect Storm.
With that said, even if we do phase, the outcome will be MUCH weaker than either of those storms. Nonetheless, we're talking about a big wind and rain maker: torrents of tropical rain, winds to 50-60 mph, and coastal flooding/beach erosion.
Still plenty to play out in the coming days, but the weather team is on top of it and will have the latest word every step of the way.