A Storm Named Sandy
Posted by Jeremy Reiner
Confidence continues to climb that Sandy will make landfall across southern New Jersey late Monday evening and continue into northwest Pennsylvania on Tuesday. A track that far southwest wouldn't normally be of concern to us but Sandy is an expansive storm. For that reason, we need to prepare for a period of heavy rain & high wind during the day on Monday.
No major changes to my thoughts in regards to Sandy. Here's what I'm thinking:
*Earliest effects from Sandy arrive very early Monday morning with periods of rain & wind (wind gusts 15-30mph)
*The worst from Sandy looks to occur in a window from 9am MONDAY until 2 am TUESDAY. Within this period is our greatest risk of wind damage/power loss. Many towns will experience wind gusts over 40mph during this time & coastal cities & towns may see wind gusts between 50-60mph and even some wind gusts near 70mph out on the Cape/Islands. The concern isn't so much the speed itself but the duration as several hours of just 40mph wind gusts may be able to bring down trees & power lines.
*High tides on Monday...11:30am and again at midnight will have to be watched for the threat of moderate to perhaps major coastal flooding
along the east coast of Massachusetts. Along the south coast--especially WEST of New Bedford there is a high risk of coastal flooding at the 8:33pm high tide on Monday.
*Rainfall looks manageable. Most towns look to pick up 1-3" of rain Monday-Monday Night. This will likely lead to some urban flooding but not enough for widespread river flooding.
That's Monday & Monday night. Sunday is a gray day that is dry for the most part (a few sprinkles around at times) as well as a developing wind (indirectly related to Sandy) Wind gusts between 15-20 mph are likely along the coast during the afternoon and those gusts will slowly increase during Sunday evening.
updates on twitter www.twitter.com/jreineron7