Warmth is Trending
Posted by Pete Bouchard
Wow! This is December?
Although our high of 59° was 10 degrees off the record, it was still WAY above the normal of 47°. But what is it about early December warmth?
Last year: 63° on the 5th
2010: 56° on the 1st
2009: 69° on the 3rd
2008: 60° on the 1st (and 63° on the 10th)
I'm beginning to see a trend here. In fact, just like those freakish warmups around Marathon time in mid April, we may start to expect some mini-warmup in early December around here. Of course, over the course of 30 years (the normal time period where we formulate our climate normals), this data will be smoothed, but I wonder if there might be a local maximum or a "bump" that is teased out of the data in early December (and mid April).
And how has this affected the winter? You'll find NO connection there:
2011-'12: 9.3" of snow
So, suffice it to say that warm spells in early December are not harbingers of a warm (cold), snowless (snowy) winter.
OK, geeky weather talk is over now.
Another mild day is in store for tomorrow. I'm not expecting that much in the way of sun, but it's hardly a cold day. Highs again will soar into the mid and upper 50s - one last soiree into the mid air before the cold air slaps down on Wednesday.
But this is what I call "superficial cold". Highs will fall to normal by Thursday, only to rebound into the weekend as we go into the rain.
This is our next significant (no, not calling it major) weather system...and it's a wet one. HOWEVER, we need to watch the cold air on Sunday. It may seep in from the north and attempt to insert some wintery weather across New England. How far south it gets into our area is still up for question.