Balmy, then...balmy?

Posted by Pete Bouchard

Wow! Knock your socks off warmth across (parts of) the Commonwealth today:

Plymouth  63

Millis          60

Wrentham 60

Waltham    59

Auburn      56

Not anything we haven't seen before in December. (See my blog from last Monday the 3rd.) While this should be the end of the unseasonable warmth for a while, it may not be the last of it for the winter.

I made a big fuss about a pattern change last week. It was supposed to shift us from milder than normal to near normal with more opportunities for snow. Well, that change is coming as advertised, BUT...

...there is some dispute on how much cold will enter the picture. Suffice it to say, it's marginal. And weak....and I don't have a lot of faith that it will be enough to keep the next series of storms as snow.

Sooooo....if we miss out on the next two opportunities (Sun-Mon and next Tuesday), we're looking at a BROWN Christmas. Right now, I'm playing the "show me the money" approach. Unless I start seeing some cold air shooting - and for that matter - staying around here for a while, I'm not budging from my milder-than-normal perch. That means I'm going for rain from Sun-Mon and also next Tuesday. They say that in dry patterns dry begets dry. Well I think that in mild patterns the cold can be temporary.

We shall see.

Pete

How To Spin This

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

So....what would you like to hear first? The good news? Bad news? Let's start with the good news....

Come On Ride The Train

Posted by Pete Bouchard

Heavy rain is on the move! All afternoon long it was stalled over Western Massachusetts and Connecticut. Heavy pulses of rain traveled over the same towns and cities - a process meteorologists call "training" - resulting in flash flooding in some counties to our west.

Unsettling

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

Another day where we have cool, ocean air battling warmer land air leading to a clash of air. That means clouds, drizzle, fog, humidity (frizzy hair) for much of the day. It's not a washout though. The highest chance of rain is this morning--until 9:30am and then later this afternoon (after 3pm). In between, you will see a lot of clouds but also some sunshine at times. Even limited sun will be able to shove temps well into the 70s. This warm & humid air is what will lead to another round of showers & t-storms later today. Some of the storms will be intense. Like the past two days the strongest storms will be in western New England. Only isolated showers/ thunderstorms are expected along the coastline later today. Sox game will have the risk of some showers but they should be able to play that game. Welcome back Tito!

Saved by The Sea Breeze

Posted by Pete Bouchard

Although my forecast was busted today, there was one good thing that came out of it.

Stability.

That gray overcast that hung over the eastern half of the Commonwealth provided a stablizing influence to our atmosphere. The cool air blowing in from the ocean kept the temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s all the way back to Metrowest. While that makes for lousy short-and-t-shirt weather, it is poison to thunderstorms.