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Pete Bouchard

Why We May Be in For It

Posted by Pete Bouchard

The suspense is building on the social media sites regarding the pending storm for Friday. So I'll cut to the chase.

I think it's time to prepare for the biggest storm since December 26th and 27th of 2010. For the snow hounds, your ship might have finally come in.

Here's why I think we may be in for it.

1) All this cold (for several times now this winter) and we don't have anything to show for it? Our luck has to run out sooner or later. I think this storm is the one.

2) Climatologically, this is the part of winter that features the biggest snowstorms. (See the Blizzard of '78...'nuff said.)

3) Regardless of whether the two jet streams come together, there is a tremendous amount of energy shooting into the storm. This alone should account for a strong storm center and subsequent heavy snow.

4) Typically our major snow events "creep" up on us. When the weather maps say you'll get it a week out, usually they're wrong. When they show it slowly evolving over the course of a few days, it usually pans out.

5) We've had this kind of potential in weeks past. Cold was in place, but the major lacking ingredient was moisture. With its origins "deep in the heart of Texas" and a pass through the Deep South, this storm has it.

I still bear the scars from earlier forecast flubs, so I'm hesitant to call this a blizzard. There are very few hallowed storms that fit that mold, and the title should not be used loosely. In fact, most blizzards aren't named until AFTER the event. I'll let that subject be until we are closer to Friday.

Snowfall amounts will teeter on either side of a foot, so this is hardly snowmageddon. Let's just all take a deep breath and hold off on the bread and milk for now. Two years ago, this was a run-of-the-mill storm.

Pete

Posted 02/05/13, 3:24pm
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