Posted by Pete Bouchard
Tonight, I have my own Silver Linings Playbook: it may be snowing, but we're missing the bigger storm offshore. If we had a direct hit from that tonight, Jeremy and Chris would accompany me on the set, and the newsies would be in a froth over storm coverage. Instead, we all get a good night's sleep, and the morning commute looks fine (maybe some slush southern end of 495/Rts 3&24). Here's why:
Chilly air will follow tomorrow, and although I can't promise a lot of sun, we'll still do some melting. The weekend is chilly too...and with more sun we'll get more wind. The upper atmosphere remains cold, and when you heat the ground with sun it causes the air to blow. More sun = stronger wind.
Monday's still on my radar for a potential nor'easter. I'm not giving up on this. The jetstream looks right, the cold is in place, but so far the weather maps keep the storm south of us. Could be they sense the block up over Greenland steering it away. Not buying it...yet.
So I had a weather epiphany this morning. After looking at the long range (10 day) outlook and realizing the pattern still wasn't showing signs of breaking, I noticed that the cold certainly was eroding. So, after some thought, I figured this: we may not break the cold/snow by sheer pattern change, but by seasonal change. Simply, the cold will slowly decay by means of longer days and stronger sun. It may not be the quickest way out, but at this point, it's probably the only way.
That's my thinking today at least. We'll see if it holds water (or snow) in a week.