When Average Is Perfect
Posted by Chris Lambert
The average high this time of year is 48 degrees and today, we were right there. In fact, after the weather we've had, today was just about perfect. A few clouds mixed in with the beautiful blue skies, but with lighter winds and those mostly sunny skies, it certainly felt more Spring-like this afternoon.
Unfortunately, our upward trend won't last long.
Monday, we'll track another storm, although, it appears the brunt of it misses us just to the south. This storm will drop plenty of snow for the Ohio Valley and interior mid-Atlantic, so there's no question about there being a storm, it's just a matter of how far north it gets. With a west to east storm motion, the majority of moisture moves off the Jersey Shore and out to sea. However, just enough of that moisture gets in here tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night to bring us a few flakes and rain drops. The steadiest rain and snow will be along and south of Route 44 late afternoon and overnight. Temperatures will be borderline on supporting snow vs rain, so rain will mix in with the snow when the precipitation is light during the late afternoon. When you get a heavier burst of precipitation, you drag down colder air, and snow falls. Temps at night will be a bit cooler as well, so that'll be the best timing for some snow as well as the timing of the heaviest precip.
Accumulations should be minor, so most of us avoid the shovels. With surface temps above freezing, a lot of the snow that falls will have trouble sticking to the roads, especially during the day. Looks like maybe a dusting as far north as the Pike, the Boston area and into Worcester. Up to a couple inches are likely along and south of Route 44 in SE Mass, and perhaps 3-4" across the Vineyard. Nantucket features a mix of rain and snow, but if you do go over to all snow there for several hours at night, a heavy, wet 4" or so could fall. Right now I'm thinking 1-2" slushy inches with all the mixing.
Winds do increase throughout the day, gusting to 40mph at the coast by Monday night, and closer to 50mph across the Cape/Islands. It's an onshore wind, but the system is fairly quick moving, so other than some minor splash-over at the coast near the 11PM high tide, there shouldn't be many coastal flooding issues.
A cool weather remains for the rest of the week, but I do see some improvements by Easter weekend. As of now, it looks like the Easter Bunny hops in here with temps in the lower to middle 50s!