Rain Closes In
Posted by Pete Bouchard
We were lucky to sneak in that nice day. An expanding rain field with Andrea in the Deep South, a broad (but weak) weather system to the west, and moist southeast winds in the afternoon could have brought the rain in by early afternoon (for the record, there were some sprinkles in Western Mass.), but we managed to keep it dry.
Hey, we'll take it. In this increasingly wet pattern, dry days will be hard to come by.
So where is Andrea? As of this typing, she's on land, making landfall at 5:45pm near Cedar Key, Florida. In this case, tracking the center is both noteworthy and pointless. Noteworthy because once her center moves over Southern New England on Saturday, we'll shut off the rain and start drying out. Pointless (now) because there's very little going on around the center: few sprinkles, gusts of wind 30-40mph - that's it.
Speaking of wind, this is NOT a huge windstorm. Strongest gusts will be out over the Cape/Islands where we could see 35-45mph. Surf will definitely get rough, but beach erosion should be limited.
Rainfall is the big issue with this storm. With parts of Southern New England getting into the tropical air - mostly south and east of Plymouth and Taunton - there may be some big rain from late Friday through very early Saturday:
That puts us in the Flood Watch through Saturday morning. Urban (street) flooding (during the event) and some river flooding (after the event) is possible with a swath of 1-3 inches of rain.
When the remnants of Andrea pass through New England, the forward speed of the storm will accelerate. This is important because it means the rain will shut off Saturday morning and the sun will break out late AM to early PM. Not too shabby, eh?
Sunday's nice too. Good amount of sun, and an outside (30-40%) chance at a shower. Take it and run.
Still unsettled next week. Not raining every day of the week, but we can't really get the 80s back either. Best chances for wet weather will be on Tuesday and Thu/Fri. Fine-tuning forthcoming.