Posted by Chris Lambert
So the showers and storms on Saturday decided to split on us, leaving many of them to our east, and other batch to our west. Today, it turned out to be the same split up as yesterday. Sure, we had more clouds around this afternoon, but the showers to our east didn't make their way any farther inland than the Cape and Islands and the heavy afternoon storms to our west never even approached 495. It's a good thing they didn't either as western Mass and Upstate NY have been rocked by torrents of rain this afternoon with flooding being a major issue.
Now, late this afternoon and early this evening, a few of those storms, likely in a weaker state, drift through northern Worcester County and southern NH, west of Nashua. For the rest of us, it'll be a dry night for firing up the grill (exception the Cape).
That'll change overnight, plenty of tropical moisture to our south moves north, and after midnight, scattered downpours are fair game for all of us. The higher rain threat continues into Monday and Tuesday with more scattered storms (yes, there will be some dry hours too). The main threat with storms Monday and Tuesday is the heavy rain. Locations likely to see the heaviest rain are over western New England and Upstate New York, where more downpours create more localized flooding problems.
Wednesday and beyond the pattern still looks warm and humid with a few storms firing in the afternoon. Daily chances of storms averages around 30%, with the most likely locations of seeing rain, away from the coastline. Highs head up to the 85-90 range, so it'll certainly feel like mid summer come the Fourth of July.